A life-size model of the new Marvel Universe film “Deadpool & Wolverine” authorized by Disney is seen in Shanghai, China, July 26, 2024.
Photo | Future Publication | Getty Images
Hollywood’s franchise frenzy is just beginning.
The 2024 box office was flooded with sequels, prequels and remakes, with the year’s top 10 titles coming from existing intellectual property. This trend will continue and expand in 2025.
The industry’s top studios are returning to familiar characters and settings to boost movie ticket sales, a strategy that isn’t new but appears to be growing exponentially.
Looking at the current calendar of 2025, between 50% and 70% of films from the six major studios — Universal, Disney, Warner Bros., Supreme, Sony and Lionsgate — will be related to existing IP. Of course, the 2025 forecast isn’t completely set in stone and studios could add more non-franchise titles in the coming months and next year.
“There is a recognition by studios that known commodities are what attract the majority of audiences,” said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst at Comscore.
The top 10 national film releases of 2024 (so far)
- “Inside Out 2” – US$652.9 million
- “Deadpool and Wolverine” – US$631.3 million
- “Despicable Me 4” – US$360.7 million
- “Dune: Part Two” — $282.1 million
- “Twisters” – US$267.5 million
- “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” – $250.3 million
- “Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire” – US$ 196.3 million
- “Kung Fu Panda 4” – US$193.59 million
- “Bad Boys: Ride or Die” – US$193.57 million
- “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” – US$171.1 million
Of the 20 highest-grossing domestic releases in 2024, only two are considered original content – Paramount’s “IF” and Neon’s “Longlegs.”
The rest are predominantly sequels to blockbusters, new and old, or tied to a popular book (“Sony’s It Ends With Us”), television show (“Universal’s The Fall Guy”) or based on a historical figure. popular (“Paramount’s The Fall Guy”). Bob Marley: One Love”).
A “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” billboard is seen at night in Times Square on September 4, 2024 in New York City.
Craig T Fruchtman | Getty Images Entertainment | Getty Images
Even before Hollywood was disrupted by the pandemic and the meteoric rise of streaming content, the domestic box office relied heavily on franchise titles. For Universal, Warner Bros., Sony, Lionsgate, Paramount and 20th Century Fox (which had not yet merged with Disney), franchise films represented between 33% and 62% of total releases in 2019. Disney was the only exception, with nine of its 10 films coming from established IP.
However, as consumers become even more discerning about where and how they spend their disposable income, studios have been investing in flashy sequels, prequels and remakes.
This has become particularly apparent in the animation space, with 2024 entrants like Disney and Pixar’s “Inside Out 2” as well as Universal’s “Despicable Me 4” and “Kung Fu Panda 4.”
“Family audiences who use a budget-based calculation when choosing whether or not to buy a movie ticket want the comfort of a family member by their side,” said Dergarabedian. “Notably, this trend appears to be infiltrating demographics of all ages, as adult audiences are also using this reasoning.”
Just look at the last quarter of the year:
Remaining Blockbuster Franchise Releases of 2024
October
- “Joker: Folie à Deux” (October 4)
- “Smile 2” (October 18)
- “Venom: The Last Dance” (October 25)
November
- “Gladiator 2” (November 22)
- “Wicked: Part One” (November 22)
- “Moana 2” (November 27)
December
- “Kraven the Hunter” (December 13)
- “The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim” (December 13)
- “Mufasa: The Lion King” (December 20)
- “Sonic the Hedgehog 3” (December 20)
These types of titles boosted domestic box office grosses to $6.3 billion in the first nine months of the year, according to Comscore, such as “Deadpool & Wolverine,” “Inside Out 2” and “Despicable Me 4” — in addition to some big hits -. helped boost the box office.
While that’s an 11.3% drop from last year and 25% below pre-pandemic levels, the result is better than box office analysts expected. The 2023 writers’ and actors’ strikes halted production and pushed a number of titles to later dates on the calendar, many of them to 2025, leaving the 2024 slate thin.
“2025 will once again be emblematic of the intellectual property- and nostalgia-driven status quo for Hollywood, but those aren’t necessarily bad words,” said Shawn Robbins, founder and owner of Box Office Theory. “Some of the best-received blockbusters in recent memory have been sequels or films based on existing brands and there is still a variety of original content out there.”
IP-Based Franchises and Films in 2025 (So Far)
Universal
- “Wolf Man” (January 17)
- “Dog Man” (January 31)
- “Bridget Jones: Boy Crazy” (February 14)
- “How to Train Your Dragon” (June 13)
- “MEGAN 2.0” (June 27)
- “Jurassic World: Rebirth” (July 2)
- “The Bandits 2” (August 1)
- “Nobody 2” (August 15)
- “Downton Abbey” Sequel (September 12)
- “Gabby’s Dollhouse” (September 26)
- “The Black Phone 2” (October 17)
- “Wicked: Part II” (November 21)
- “Five Nights at Freddy’s 2” (December 5)
Disney
- “Captain America: Brave New World” (February 11)
- “Snow White” (March 21)
- “Raios*” (May 2)
- “Fantastic Four: Getting Started” (July 25)
- “Tron: Ares” (October 10)
- “Zootopia 2” (November 26)
- “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (December 19)
Sony
- “Paddington in Peru” (January 17)
- “Karate Kid” (May 30)
- “28 Years Later” (June 20)
- Untitled Spider-Man Universe film (June 27)
- “I Know What You Did Last Summer” Sequel (July 18)
- “Insidious” Sequel (August 29)
Lionsgate
- “Den of Thieves: Panther” (January 10)
- “Michael” (April 18)
- “Ballerina” (John Wick) (June 6)
- “Dirty Dancing” Sequel (Summer 2025)
- “Saw XI” (September 26)
- “Now You See Me 3” (November 14)
Warner Bros.*
- “Minecraft” (April 4)
- “Superman: Legacy” (July 11)
- “The Conjuring: Last Rites” (September 5)
- “Mortal Kombat 2” (October 24)
- “The Bride!”
Supreme
- “The Smurf Movie” (February 14)
- “Mission: Impossible 8” (May 23)
- Movie “Naked Gun” (July 18)
- “SpongeBob Movie: Look for SquarePants” (December 19)
* Warner Bros. has six untitled “event” films on its calendar. It’s unclear whether they are tied to franchises or IP at this time.
While 2024 and 2025 feature franchise-rich film slates, Wall Street doesn’t expect ticket sales to surpass $10 billion domestically until 2026. The domestic box office hasn’t reached that figure since 2019, before the Covid pandemic. Last year, it raised just over $9 billion.
The 2025 movie calendar ends with a third Avatar movie in mid-December, meaning ticket sales will bleed until 2026. Then the summer begins with an Avengers team-up movie, followed by a “Mandalorian” movie from Star Wars on Memorial Day Weekend Another Star Wars film will cap off Disney’s big year in December 2026.
Add a second “Super Mario Bros. Movie”, a fifth “Toy Story”, a fifth “Shrek”, another Hunger Games film, a Supergirl film, another Matt Reeves Batman film and the likely release of a third “Dune” film and 2026 is on the way an impressive box office.
And even as Hollywood’s biggest studios rely on family-friendly titles to lure audiences back to theaters, several non-franchise films have excelled at the box office in recent years.
“Next year offers new original films from filmmakers like Jordan Peele, Paul Thomas Anderson, JJ Abrams’ Bad Robot production company and Ryan Coogler, which could stand out among a variety of franchise films,” said Robbins.
Disclosure: Comcast is the parent company of NBCUniversal and CNBC.
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